HURRICANE IRENE WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS THROUGH SUNDAY.
NEW INFORMATION.
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED TORNADO INFORMATION.
UPDATED COASTAL FLOODING IMPACT STATEMENTS.
AREAS AFFECTED.
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE & MARINE INTERESTS IN EASTERN PA.NJ.DE & NORTHEASTERN MD.AS WELL AS ON THE COASTAL WATERS OF NJ AND DE & ON DE BAY.
WATCHES/WARNINGS.
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.NEW CASTLE.KENT.INLAND SUSSEX.DE BEACHES.TALBOT.
CAROLINE.MIDDLESEX.WESTERN MONMOUTH.EASTERN MONMOUTH.
SALEM.GLOUCESTER.CAMDEN.NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON.OCEAN.
CUMBERLAND.ATLANTIC.CAPE MAY.ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY.
COASTAL ATLANTIC.COASTAL OCEAN.SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON.
DE & PHILADELPHIA.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS.A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF NJ & DE COASTAL WATERS & DE BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.
CECIL.KENT MD.QUEEN ANNES.SUSSEX.WARREN.MORRIS.
HUNTERDON.SOMERSET.MERCER.CARBON.MONROE.BERKS.
LEHIGH.NORTHAMPTON.CHESTER.MONTGOMERY & BUCKS.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN PA.NEW JERSEY.DE & NORTHEASTERN MD. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF S. NEW JERSEY.DE & PORTIONS OF THE MD EASTERN SHORE AND ADJACENT WATERS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY TORNADO WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.
STORM INFORMATION.
AT 11 AM EDT.THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2N.LONGITUDE 76.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ.OR ABOUT 270 MILES SO. OF DOVER DE. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 85 MPH.
SITUATION OVERVIEW.
HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST.WITH THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING VERY CLOSE TO THE COASTS OF DE & NJ FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE STORM WILL BRING DAMAGING WINDS.TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH DANGEROUS FLOODING.& COASTAL FLOODING.
OVERALL.6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH A FEW LOCATIONS RECEIVING OVER 12 INCHES. HEAVY & POSSIBLY RECORD SETTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NJ.EASTERN PA.DE & NORTHEASTERN MD. SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. THE RARITAN AND SCHUYLKILL RIVERS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACT RATHER QUICKLY AND ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. THE DE.SUSQUEHANNA AND PASSAIC RIVERS REACT MORE SLOWLY. HOWEVER.THEY ALSO ARE HIGHLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM THIS RAINFALL EVENT.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OR HURRICANE IRENE THROUGH TONIGHT.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS.DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.AS IRENE IS A LARGE STORM. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. EVERYONE IS URGED TO COMPLETE THEIR STORM PREPARATIONS.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAPE MAY COUNTY.NEW JERSEY.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COUNTY.NJ.
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR LONG BEACH ISLAND IN OCEAN COUNTY.NJ.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERKELEY TOWNSHIP IN OCEAN COUNTY.NJ.
SOME MAJOR TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS IN NJ WILL BE HALTED AT NOON TODAY UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. AT LEAST ONE BRIDGE WILL BE CLOSED BEGINNING AT 600 PM TODAY. PLEASE MONITOR MEDIA BROADCASTS REGARDING THE STATUS OF EVACUATIONS.TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS AND SHELTERS.
IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT RESIDENTS & VISITORS FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS WHEN EVACUATIONS ARE ORDERED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE & PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.
PREPARE FOR POWER OUTAGES THAT COULD LAST FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME. MAKE SURE THAT YOUR VEHICLE HAS A FULL TANK OF GAS.
FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS, DOCKS & MARINAS, URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT, MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES & CAUSEWAYS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT & WELL SECURED.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY & PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION, PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATL WEATHER SVC OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
NEXT UPDATE.
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATL WEATHER SVC IN MOUNT HOLLY AROUND 3 PM EDT.OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
MDZ008-012-015-NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-
272300-
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
1207 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
NEW INFORMATION.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO.THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 75 PERCENT.
WINDS.
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES.SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH.
MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES.
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES.AWNINGS OR CARPORTS. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE & PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF & SIDING DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND & MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES & SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
STORM SURGE & STORM TIDE.
FOR THE MD EASTERN SHORE.A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE.
INLAND FLOODING.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION & BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.
TORNADOES.
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE MD EASTERN SHORE. ISTEN FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION.AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.
$$
DEZ001>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ012>014-016>027-PAZ070-071-272300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DE BEACHES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER- CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DE-PHILADELPHIA-
1207 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
NEW INFORMATION.
UPDATED COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT STATEMENTS.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 12 PERCENT. ALSO.THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 87 PERCENT.
WINDS.
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES.SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 65 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
80 MPH.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED. POORLY ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES MAY BE DESTROYED.ALONG WITH THOSE OF OLD OR POOR CONSTRUCTION. SOME WELL ANCHORED MOBILE HOMES WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS.WALLS & WINDOWS.& COULD BECOME UNINHABITABLE. SOME HOMES OF FRAME CONSTRUCTION WILL SUSTAIN PARTIAL WALL & ROOF FAILURE.& POSSIBLY BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN ABOUT.CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE & POSSIBLE INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE POWER OUTAGES WITH SOME DOWNED POWER POLES. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP.
SOME TREES WILL BE UPROOTED.ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.
STORM SURGE & STORM TIDE.
MUCH DEPENDS ON THE SIZE.INTENSITY & TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES DE & NJ. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO
6 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL PREDICTED TIDES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE & THE DE BAY SHORE.
FOR ATLANTIC COUNTY NJ.AT 7.5 FEET MLLW.OR 9.5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.FLOODING OCCURS ON THE MARGATE BRIDGE CAUSEWAY.
FOR REFERENCE. SHOULD THE WATER LEVEL REACH 9.4 FEET MLLW. OR
11.5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS IS COMPARABLE TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED WITH THE 1944 HURRICANE.
IN MIDDLESEX COUNTY NJ ALONG THE RARITAN BAY & RARITAN RIVER. AT 7.7 FEET MLLW. OR 10.3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.
FLOODING OCCURS ALONG NJ ROUTE 35 & 36 IN KEYPORT AND HAZLET. SHOULD THE WATER LEVEL REACH 9.4 FEET MLLW. OR 11 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS IS COMPARABLE TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED WITH THE 1944 HURRICANE.
IN CAPE MAY COUNTY NJ. AT 8 FEET MLLW. OR 10.6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. FLOODING OCCURS ALONG NJ ROUTE 47 IN DENNIS TOWNSHIP & ON AVALON BOULEVARD NEAR THE GARDEN STATE PARKWAY INTERCHAGE 13. SHOULD THE WATER LEVEL REACH 8.8 FEET MLLW.
OR 11.5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS IS COMPARABLE TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED WITH THE HURRICANE GLORIA IN 1985.
IN OCEAN COUNTY NJ. AT 7 FEET MLLW.OR 9.5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. FLOODING OCCURS ON LOCAL ROADS IN OCEAN GATE & IN MYSTIC ISLANDS. SHOULD THE WATER LEVEL REACH 8.6 FEET MLLW. OR
11.2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS IS COMPARABLE TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED WITH THE HURRICANE GLORIA IN 1985.
IN SUSSEX COUNTY DE. AT 7 FEET MLLW.OR 9.2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. FLOODING OCCURS IN MILFORD.REHOBOTH BEACH. AND MILLSBORO. SHOULD THE WATER LEVEL REACH 9.2 FEET MLLW. OR 11.5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. THIS IS COMPARABLE TO THE FLOODING THAT OCCURRED WITH THE NOREASTER OF MARCH 1962.
INLAND FLOODING.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION.& BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.
TORNADOES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST & ON THE DELMARVA PENINSULA THROUGH THIS EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION.& BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY IF A TORNADO APPROACHES.
COASTAL HAZARDS.
SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES.AROUND 20 FEET HIGH.ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE DE & NJ COASTLINE FROM LATE TODAY INTO SUN AFTERNOON.
RIP CURRENTS.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. DO NOT ENTER THE SURF.
$$
ANZ430-431-450>455-272300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
DE BAY WATERS NO. OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DE BAY WATERS SO. OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1207 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
NEW INFORMATION.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED TORNADO INFORMATION.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 17 PERCENT.
ALSO.THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 91 PERCENT.
WINDS & SEAS.
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES.SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON & HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LATE THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HRS. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS.
THE SEAS WILL BUILD QUICKLY AS THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE ARRIVES.WITH WAVE HEIGHTS REACHING AT LEAST 20 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS. WAVES SHOULD BE 5 TO 10 FEET ON DE BAY.
UP TO 15 FEET AT THE ENTRANCE TO THE BAY.
TORNADOES & WATERSPOUTS.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUN IN THE RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
$$
ANZ470-272300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM-
1207 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT.
NEW INFORMATION.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED TORNADO INFORMATION.
PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 12 TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO.THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 86 TO 92 PERCENT.
WINDS & SEAS.
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES.SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS MORNING & HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LATE THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HRS. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS.
SEAS ON THE ATLANTIC OUTER COASTAL WATERS MAY REACH OR EXCEED
25 FEET FOR A TIME FROM TONIGHT INTO SUN MORNING.
TORNADOES & WATERSPOUTS.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR WATERSPOUTS TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUN IN THE RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
$$
MANNING
----
THE EMERGENCY EMAIL & WIRELESS NETWORK
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